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As we have discussed for the past few quarters, rising rates, base effects, and far more persistent inflationary headwinds – the hangover from super stimulated monetary conditions post-COVID – are pressuring global economic activity and with it, asset prices. Unfortunately, we don’t think that we are out of the woods yet, as central banks remain behind the curve with both structural (higher long-term commodity prices, the impact of regionalizing supply chains) and cyclical (labor availability, inventory shortages) factors weighing down the outlook for growth and increasing the cost of capital.

Despite the associated market volatility, several dynamics are playing out which, perhaps counterintuitively, are increasing our conviction that the next five to ten years should be extremely prospective for a select group of real assets.